Green Volcano alert

On 5/20/2007 12:44:45 PM UTC a change occurred in the eruption status of Volcano Bezymianny in the unpopulated region of Russia in KAMCHATKA.

The GDACS alert indicates:
Less than 100000 people within 100km or Volcano is dormant, normal seismic & fumarolic activity, or restless (alert level 0 or 1).
More than 100000 people within 100km and volcano is in eruption or eruption may occur at any time (Alert levels 2, 3 and 4)
More than 100000 people within 100km and significant eruption is occurring or explosive eruption is expected at any time (alert level 5).

Alert levels are taken from the South West Volcano Research Centre. 

Location

Description

The Volcano is in KAMCHATKA, 40km from the city of Klyuchi. The nearest populated places are [None].

It is a mountainous region with a maximum altitude of 4588 m.

Getting there and away

The airfield of Klyuchi is located at 38km from the epicenter. See the map for more details.

The estimated geographical coordinates of the Volcano are: 55.98 North and 160.59 East.

About the data

Source: Southwest Volcano Research Centre (SWVRC): http://www.swvrc.org/

Explanation of alert level (from SWVRC)

• Alert level 0 = Volcano is dormant, normal seismic & fumarolic activity
• Alert level 1 = Volcano is restless; eruption may occur
• Alert level 2 = Volcano is in eruption or eruption may occur at any time
• Alert level 3 = Significant local eruption in progress
• Alert level 4 = Hazardous local eruption in progress
• Alert level 5 = Significant eruption is occurring or explosive eruption is expected at any time

Potentially affected People

The population in the area of this volcano is 0 people/km².

The volcano event occurred at 23h local time. At this time a day, more people are at home and therefore more vulnerable to collapsing residential buildings. During traffic hours, people can be affected by collapsing bridges and other road infrastructure.

About the data

Population data: derived from the LandScan 2002 dataset provided by Oak Ridge National Laboratory, which disaggregated census data into pixels of ~1km² (or 30 arc seconds).

Resilience and Vulnerability

ECHO Intervention Priority Ranking for KAMCHATKA
Rank: 39/132
Overall situation
Human Development
Human Poverty
Exposure to Major Disasters
Natural Disasters
Conflicts
Humanitarian effects of population movement
Refugees
Internally Displaced People
Health and Nutrition
Undernourishment
Mortality rates
Donor contributions
Official Development assistance
Source ECHO Key: Bad - Medium - Good - No data

Resilience is the capacity of the population to cope with a hazard. Since much of investments in Volcano preparedness and available funds for quick response is related to household income, the GDP per capita can be used as a rough indicator of resilience.

KAMCHATKA has a GDP per capita of 2210 PPP$ (Parity Purchasing Power Dollar, about 1 Euro) and is therefore part of the low level income countries. Therefore, the Volcano is in an area of low resilience.

Based on the combination of 9 indicators, ECHO attributes KAMCHATKA a medium vulnerability.

About the data

Exposure

Both conditions for survival and conditions for delivering aid strongly depend on the current weather and temperature. The following graphs show the current and forecast weather.
Current weather conditions and forecasts at Volcano location (lat: 55.98 - long: 160.59)

About the data

Source: www.calle.com/world. The data is not very reliable, but it gives an indication for remote regions where more detailed information is not available. The data is interpolated for the given latitude and longitude from the closest airport weather stations.

Secondary effects

Probability of secondary effects:

• Landslides: The maximum slope in the area of the earthquake is 64.484% and the maximum altitude is 4588 m. Since this is a high slope, the risk of earthquake induced landslides is high. Note, however, that the slope data is not reliable on a local scale, while landslides depend very much on local topography, soil and meteorological conditions.
• Nuclear power plants: There are no nuclear facilities nearby the epicenter.

About the data

Landslides: slope and altitude are derived from the gtopo30 dataset provided by USGS. The thresholds used for landslide related slope classes are: 0-30% - low risk (green), 30-60% medium risk (orange), 60-100% high risk (red).

Nuclear radiation: the distance to nuclear installations is evaluated based on a 1999 UN dataset containing the location of nuclear plants in the world. If plants are near and the earthquake magnitude is above 6.5, the alert is set to orange. Note that the location of plants is approximate with errors of up to 100km.

Mapping material available on the DMA for KAMCHATKA:

• Interactive Country map: http://dma.jrc.it/services/dmaexplorer/?Country=KAMCHATKA
• Interactive Event map: click on maps below

image area: approx. 130x90km2 image area: approx. 65x45km2